Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Unión (Santa Fe).
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
DRDrawU(F
expected goals
1.03–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DR ↓U(F →
012340
11
13
8
3
1
111
13
8
3
1
26
7
4
2
0
32
2
1
1
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DR
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA+1.23
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
U(F
ATT XG+0.27
DEF XGA-0.49
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG