Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
San Lorenzo 1–0 Deportivo Riestra.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SLDrawDR
expected goals
0.82–0.58
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 37% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SL ↓DR →
012340
25
14
4
1
0
120
12
3
1
0
28
5
1
0
0
32
1
0
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SL
ATT XG-1.16
DEF XGA+1.32
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
DR
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA+1.23
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG