Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Gimnasia La Plata 1–1 Atlético Tucumán.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
GLPDrawAT
expected goals
1.55–1.02
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 27% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GLP ↓AT →
012340
8
8
4
1
0
112
12
6
2
1
29
9
5
2
0
35
5
2
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GLP
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.17
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
AT
ATT XG-0.83
DEF XGA+0.55
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG