Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Barracas Central 2–0 Huracán.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
BCDrawHUR
expected goals
0.90–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓HUR →
012340
15
15
7
2
1
114
13
7
2
1
26
6
3
1
0
32
2
1
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+1.32
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
HUR
ATT XG-0.50
DEF XGA+1.23
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG