◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
AR v AQ
Al Riyadh›
vs
Thu, Oct 29 · 06:00 PM UTC
Al Qadsiah›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Saudi Pro League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
9%
16%
75%
ARDrawAQ
expected goals
0.80–2.55
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AR ↓AQ →
012340
4
9
11
10
6
1
3
7
9
8
5
2
1
3
4
3
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AR
ATT XG-1.01
DEF XGA-0.44
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
AQ
ATT XG+2.24
DEF XGA+1.46
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
AR v AQ
Al Riyadh›
vs
Thu, Oct 29 · 06:00 PM UTC
Al Qadsiah›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Saudi Pro League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
9%
16%
75%
ARDrawAQ
expected goals
0.80–2.55
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AR ↓AQ →
012340
4
9
11
10
6
1
3
7
9
8
5
2
1
3
4
3
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AR
ATT XG-1.01
DEF XGA-0.44
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
AQ
ATT XG+2.24
DEF XGA+1.46
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG