Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
What happened
Al Shabab 2–2 Al-Faisaly.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ASDrawAL-
expected goals
1.65–1.19
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AS ↓AL- →
012340
6
7
4
2
0
110
11
7
3
1
28
9
6
2
1
34
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AS
ATT XG-0.05
DEF XGA-0.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
AL-
ATT XG-0.48
DEF XGA-0.36
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG