Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
What happened
Al Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
AFDrawAK
expected goals
1.25–1.12
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 32% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AF ↓AK →
012340
9
10
6
2
1
112
13
7
3
1
27
8
5
2
0
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AF
ATT XG-0.83
DEF XGA-0.56
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
AK
ATT XG-0.79
DEF XGA-0.35
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG