Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
What happened
Al Diriyah 1–1 Al Taawoun.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ADDrawAT
expected goals
1.04–0.70
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 34% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AD ↓AT →
012340
18
12
4
1
0
118
13
4
1
0
29
7
2
1
0
33
2
1
0
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AD
ATT XG-1.26
DEF XGA+1.99
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
AT
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA+0.12
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG