Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
What happened
Al Khaleej 2–0 Al Fayha.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
AKDrawAF
expected goals
1.19–1.22
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 35% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AK ↓AF →
012340
9
11
7
3
1
111
13
8
3
1
26
8
5
2
1
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AK
ATT XG-0.79
DEF XGA-0.35
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
AF
ATT XG-0.72
DEF XGA-0.36
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG