Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
NNDrawFS
expected goals
2.03–1.47
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NN ↓FS →
012340
3
4
3
2
1
16
9
7
3
1
26
9
7
3
1
34
6
5
2
1
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NN
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA-0.59
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
FS
ATT XG-0.28
DEF XGA-1.12
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG