Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
SC Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SCDrawAA
expected goals
1.14–1.95
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SC ↓AA →
012340
5
9
9
6
3
15
10
10
6
3
23
6
6
4
2
31
2
2
1
1
40
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SC
ATT XG-0.44
DEF XGA-1.94
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
AA
ATT XG-0.09
DEF XGA+0.78
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG