Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
PEC Zwolle 4–1 Go Ahead Eagles.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
PZDrawGAE
expected goals
1.30–1.72
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 28% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PZ ↓GAE →
012340
5
8
7
4
2
16
11
9
5
2
24
7
6
3
2
32
3
3
2
1
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PZ
ATT XG-0.78
DEF XGA-1.26
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
GAE
ATT XG-0.27
DEF XGA-0.65
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG