Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ADHDrawPE
expected goals
1.15–3.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 11% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ADH ↓PE →
012340
2
5
7
7
5
12
5
8
8
6
21
3
5
5
4
30
1
2
2
1
40
0
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ADH
ATT XG-0.85
DEF XGA-1.41
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
PE
ATT XG+1.70
DEF XGA+0.19
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG