Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
TELDrawADH
expected goals
1.90–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TEL ↓ADH →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
111
10
5
2
0
210
10
5
2
0
36
6
3
1
0
43
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TEL
ATT XG-0.57
DEF XGA-0.64
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
ADH
ATT XG-0.84
DEF XGA-1.41
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG