Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
Fortuna Sittard 1–1 FC Twente.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
FSDrawFT
expected goals
1.09–2.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FS ↓FT →
012340
4
9
9
6
3
15
10
10
7
3
23
5
5
4
2
31
2
2
1
1
40
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FS
ATT XG-0.28
DEF XGA-1.12
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
FT
ATT XG+0.22
DEF XGA+1.23
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG