Eredivisie · 2026-27
What happened
Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
GAEDrawSR
expected goals
1.85–1.21
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GAE ↓SR →
012340
5
6
3
1
0
19
10
6
3
1
28
10
6
2
1
35
6
4
1
0
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GAE
ATT XG-0.27
DEF XGA-0.65
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SR
ATT XG-0.51
DEF XGA-1.32
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG