◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
GV v EST
Gil Vicente›
vs
Sun, Nov 29 · 06:00 PM UTC
Estoril›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
53%
25%
22%
GVDrawEST
expected goals
1.70–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GV ↓EST →
012340
7
7
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GV
ATT XG-0.48
DEF XGA+0.83
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
EST
ATT XG-0.60
DEF XGA-0.76
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
GV v EST
Gil Vicente›
vs
Sun, Nov 29 · 06:00 PM UTC
Estoril›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
53%
25%
22%
GVDrawEST
expected goals
1.70–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GV ↓EST →
012340
7
7
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GV
ATT XG-0.48
DEF XGA+0.83
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
EST
ATT XG-0.60
DEF XGA-0.76
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG