◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
MAR v CN
Recognise Maritimo’s players →Recognise C.D. Nacional’s players →
Maritimo›
vs
Fri, Nov 27 · 08:15 PM UTC
C.D. Nacional›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
49%
25%
26%
MARDrawCN
expected goals
1.72–1.21
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MAR ↓CN →
012340
5
6
4
2
0
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MAR
ATT XG-0.40
DEF XGA-0.70
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
MAR v CN
Recognise Maritimo’s players →Recognise C.D. Nacional’s players →
Maritimo›
vs
Fri, Nov 27 · 08:15 PM UTC
C.D. Nacional›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
49%
25%
26%
MARDrawCN
expected goals
1.72–1.21
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MAR ↓CN →
012340
5
6
4
2
0
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MAR
ATT XG-0.40
DEF XGA-0.70
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG