◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
ARO v CN
Recognise Arouca’s players →Recognise C.D. Nacional’s players →
Arouca›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 03:30 PM UTC
C.D. Nacional›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
61%
22%
17%
ARODrawCN
expected goals
1.97–0.92
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ARO ↓CN →
012340
6
5
2
1
0
1
11
10
5
1
0
2
11
10
5
1
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ARO
ATT XG+0.06
DEF XGA+0.67
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
ARO v CN
Recognise Arouca’s players →Recognise C.D. Nacional’s players →
Arouca›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 03:30 PM UTC
C.D. Nacional›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
61%
22%
17%
ARODrawCN
expected goals
1.97–0.92
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ARO ↓CN →
012340
6
5
2
1
0
1
11
10
5
1
0
2
11
10
5
1
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ARO
ATT XG+0.06
DEF XGA+0.67
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG