◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
CN v BRA
C.D. Nacional›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 06:00 PM UTC
Braga›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
21%
25%
54%
CNDrawBRA
expected goals
1.03–1.77
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CN ↓BRA →
012340
6
11
10
6
2
1
6
11
10
6
3
2
3
6
5
3
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
BRA
ATT XG+0.30
DEF XGA+0.89
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
CN v BRA
C.D. Nacional›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 06:00 PM UTC
Braga›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
21%
25%
54%
CNDrawBRA
expected goals
1.03–1.77
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CN ↓BRA →
012340
6
11
10
6
2
1
6
11
10
6
3
2
3
6
5
3
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CN
ATT XG-0.94
DEF XGA-0.69
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
BRA
ATT XG+0.30
DEF XGA+0.89
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG