◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
EST v MOR
Recognise Estoril’s players →Recognise Moreirense’s players →
Estoril›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 03:30 PM UTC
Moreirense›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
28%
30%
ESTDrawMOR
expected goals
1.38–1.10
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EST ↓MOR →
012340
8
9
5
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
0
3
4
4
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EST
ATT XG-0.60
DEF XGA-0.76
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
MOR
ATT XG-1.20
DEF XGA+0.15
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
EST v MOR
Recognise Estoril’s players →Recognise Moreirense’s players →
Estoril›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 03:30 PM UTC
Moreirense›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
28%
30%
ESTDrawMOR
expected goals
1.38–1.10
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EST ↓MOR →
012340
8
9
5
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
0
3
4
4
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EST
ATT XG-0.60
DEF XGA-0.76
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
MOR
ATT XG-1.20
DEF XGA+0.15
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG