◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
EST v CP
Recognise Estrela’s players →Recognise Casa Pia’s players →
Estrela›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 02:30 PM UTC
Casa Pia›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
55%
25%
20%
ESTDrawCP
expected goals
1.76–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EST ↓CP →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EST
ATT XG-0.37
DEF XGA-1.18
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
CP
ATT XG-1.58
DEF XGA-0.77
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
EST v CP
Recognise Estrela’s players →Recognise Casa Pia’s players →
Estrela›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 02:30 PM UTC
Casa Pia›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
55%
25%
20%
ESTDrawCP
expected goals
1.76–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EST ↓CP →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EST
ATT XG-0.37
DEF XGA-1.18
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
CP
ATT XG-1.58
DEF XGA-0.77
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG