◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
VDG v MAR
Recognise Vitória de Guimaraes’s players →Recognise Maritimo’s players →
Vitória de Guimaraes›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 07:45 PM UTC
Maritimo›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
27%
31%
VDGDrawMAR
expected goals
1.45–1.20
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VDG ↓MAR →
012340
7
8
5
2
1
1
10
12
7
3
1
2
7
9
5
2
1
3
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VDG
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+0.31
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
MAR
ATT XG-0.40
DEF XGA-0.70
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Primeira Liga · 2026-27
VDG v MAR
Recognise Vitória de Guimaraes’s players →Recognise Maritimo’s players →
Vitória de Guimaraes›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 07:45 PM UTC
Maritimo›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Primeira Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
27%
31%
VDGDrawMAR
expected goals
1.45–1.20
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VDG ↓MAR →
012340
7
8
5
2
1
1
10
12
7
3
1
2
7
9
5
2
1
3
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VDG
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+0.31
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
MAR
ATT XG-0.40
DEF XGA-0.70
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG