◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Championship · 2026-27
BC v SC
Birmingham City›
vs
Sat, Nov 7 · 03:00 PM UTC
Swansea City›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
33%
31%
36%
BCDrawSC
expected goals
1.06–1.11
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓SC →
012340
11
13
7
3
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
6
7
4
1
0
3
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.30
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
SC
ATT XG+0.16
DEF XGA+1.59
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Championship · 2026-27
BC v SC
Birmingham City›
vs
Sat, Nov 7 · 03:00 PM UTC
Swansea City›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
33%
31%
36%
BCDrawSC
expected goals
1.06–1.11
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓SC →
012340
11
13
7
3
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
6
7
4
1
0
3
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.30
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
SC
ATT XG+0.16
DEF XGA+1.59
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG