◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Championship · 2026-27
BC v MIL
Recognise Birmingham City’s players →Recognise Millwall’s players →
Birmingham City›
vs
Tue, Nov 3 · 08:00 PM UTC
Millwall›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
37%
29%
34%
BCDrawMIL
expected goals
1.23–1.16
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓MIL →
012340
9
11
6
2
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
5
2
1
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.31
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.32
DEF XGA+1.06
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Championship · 2026-27
BC v MIL
Recognise Birmingham City’s players →Recognise Millwall’s players →
Birmingham City›
vs
Tue, Nov 3 · 08:00 PM UTC
Millwall›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
37%
29%
34%
BCDrawMIL
expected goals
1.23–1.16
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓MIL →
012340
9
11
6
2
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
5
2
1
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.31
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.32
DEF XGA+1.06
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG