◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Championship · 2026-27
MIL v DC
Recognise Millwall’s players →Recognise Derby County’s players →
Millwall›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 03:00 PM UTC
Derby County›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
55%
25%
20%
MILDrawDC
expected goals
1.77–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MIL ↓DC →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MIL
ATT XG+0.30
DEF XGA+1.05
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
DC
ATT XG-0.44
DEF XGA+0.26
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Championship · 2026-27
MIL v DC
Recognise Millwall’s players →Recognise Derby County’s players →
Millwall›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 03:00 PM UTC
Derby County›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
55%
25%
20%
MILDrawDC
expected goals
1.77–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MIL ↓DC →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
6
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MIL
ATT XG+0.30
DEF XGA+1.05
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
DC
ATT XG-0.44
DEF XGA+0.26
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG