◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Championship · 2026-27
NC v WAT
Recognise Norwich City’s players →Recognise Watford’s players →
Norwich City›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 12:30 PM UTC
Watford›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
62%
22%
16%
NCDrawWAT
expected goals
2.05–0.95
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NC ↓WAT →
012340
5
5
2
1
0
1
10
10
5
1
0
2
10
10
5
1
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
4
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NC
ATT XG+0.35
DEF XGA+0.41
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
WAT
ATT XG-1.01
DEF XGA-0.38
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Championship · 2026-27
NC v WAT
Recognise Norwich City’s players →Recognise Watford’s players →
Norwich City›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 12:30 PM UTC
Watford›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
62%
22%
16%
NCDrawWAT
expected goals
2.05–0.95
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NC ↓WAT →
012340
5
5
2
1
0
1
10
10
5
1
0
2
10
10
5
1
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
4
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NC
ATT XG+0.35
DEF XGA+0.41
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
WAT
ATT XG-1.01
DEF XGA-0.38
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG