◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Championship · 2026-27
LC v BC
Lincoln City›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 12:30 PM UTC
Birmingham City›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
30%
32%
38%
LCDrawBC
expected goals
0.95–1.12
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LC ↓BC →
012340
13
14
8
3
1
1
12
13
8
3
1
2
6
6
4
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LC
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+0.70
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.31
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Championship · 2026-27
LC v BC
Lincoln City›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 12:30 PM UTC
Birmingham City›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Championship.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
30%
32%
38%
LCDrawBC
expected goals
0.95–1.12
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LC ↓BC →
012340
13
14
8
3
1
1
12
13
8
3
1
2
6
6
4
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LC
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+0.70
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.31
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG