Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 Portsmouth.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
WWDrawPOR
expected goals
1.56–1.41
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
WW ↓POR →
012340
5
7
5
2
1
18
11
8
4
1
26
9
6
3
1
33
5
3
2
1
41
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
WW
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA-0.29
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
POR
ATT XG-0.29
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG