Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Swansea City 0–1 West Ham United.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SCDrawWHU
expected goals
1.76–1.05
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SC ↓WHU →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
111
11
6
2
1
29
10
5
2
0
35
6
3
1
0
42
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SC
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA+1.64
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
WHU
ATT XG+0.22
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG