Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
NCDrawPOR
expected goals
2.02–1.22
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NC ↓POR →
012340
4
5
3
1
0
18
10
6
2
1
28
10
6
2
1
35
7
4
2
0
43
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NC
ATT XG+0.35
DEF XGA+0.41
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
POR
ATT XG-0.29
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG