Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield United.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
BCDrawSU
expected goals
1.52–1.36
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 33% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓SU →
012340
6
8
5
2
1
19
12
8
4
1
26
9
6
3
1
33
4
3
1
0
41
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.71
DEF XGA+0.05
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
SU
ATT XG-0.21
DEF XGA-0.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG