Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Lincoln City 0–6 West Ham United.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
LCDrawWHU
expected goals
1.23–1.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 30% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LC ↓WHU →
012340
10
11
6
2
1
113
13
7
2
1
28
8
4
1
0
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LC
ATT XG-0.91
DEF XGA+0.69
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
WHU
ATT XG+0.22
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG