Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Wrexham 1–2 West Bromwich Albion.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
WREDrawWBA
expected goals
1.43–0.92
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
WRE ↓WBA →
012340
10
9
4
1
0
114
13
6
2
0
210
9
4
1
0
35
4
2
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
WRE
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.41
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
WBA
ATT XG-0.74
DEF XGA+0.58
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG