Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Bolton Wanderers.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
WWDrawBW
expected goals
1.70–1.36
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 30% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
WW ↓BW →
012340
5
6
4
2
1
18
11
7
3
1
27
9
6
3
1
34
5
4
2
1
42
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
WW
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA-0.29
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
BW
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.07
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG