Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
BCDrawBR
expected goals
1.36–1.18
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 32% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓BR →
012340
8
9
5
2
1
111
13
7
3
1
27
9
5
2
1
33
4
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.71
DEF XGA+0.05
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
BR
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA+0.26
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG