Championship · 2026-27
What happened
Sheffield United 3–0 Lincoln City.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SUDrawLC
expected goals
1.09–1.09
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 34% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SU ↓LC →
012340
11
12
7
2
1
112
13
7
3
1
27
7
4
1
0
32
3
1
1
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SU
ATT XG-0.21
DEF XGA-0.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
LC
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+0.70
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG