Championship · 2026-27
What happened
West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Birmingham City.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
WBADrawBC
expected goals
1.05–1.01
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 33% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
WBA ↓BC →
012340
13
13
7
2
1
113
14
7
2
1
27
7
4
1
0
32
2
1
0
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
WBA
ATT XG-0.80
DEF XGA+0.58
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
BC
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.31
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG