Championship · 2026-27
What happened
West Ham United 1–1 Queens Park Rangers.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
WHUDrawQPR
expected goals
1.71–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 25% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
WHU ↓QPR →
012340
6
7
4
1
0
110
11
7
3
1
28
10
6
2
1
35
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
WHU
ATT XG+0.22
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
QPR
ATT XG-0.66
DEF XGA+0.04
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG