◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Ligue 1 · 2026-27
TOU v TRO
Recognise Toulouse’s players →Recognise Troyes’s players →
Toulouse›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 03:15 PM UTC
Troyes›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Ligue 1.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Ligue 1 →
Model view
73%
17%
10%
TOUDrawTRO
expected goals
2.39–0.75
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TOU ↓TRO →
012340
4
3
1
0
0
1
10
8
3
1
0
2
12
9
3
1
0
3
10
7
3
1
0
4
6
4
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TOU
ATT XG-0.20
DEF XGA+0.35
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
TRO
ATT XG-1.58
DEF XGA-2.11
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Ligue 1 · 2026-27
TOU v TRO
Recognise Toulouse’s players →Recognise Troyes’s players →
Toulouse›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 03:15 PM UTC
Troyes›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Ligue 1.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Ligue 1 →
Model view
73%
17%
10%
TOUDrawTRO
expected goals
2.39–0.75
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TOU ↓TRO →
012340
4
3
1
0
0
1
10
8
3
1
0
2
12
9
3
1
0
3
10
7
3
1
0
4
6
4
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TOU
ATT XG-0.20
DEF XGA+0.35
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
TRO
ATT XG-1.58
DEF XGA-2.11
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG