◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Ligue 1 · 2026-27
BRE v NIC
Brest›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 06:45 PM UTC
Nice›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Ligue 1.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Ligue 1 →
Model view
50%
25%
25%
BREDrawNIC
expected goals
1.69–1.13
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BRE ↓NIC →
012340
6
7
4
1
0
1
10
11
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BRE
ATT XG-0.24
DEF XGA+0.09
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
NIC
ATT XG-0.72
DEF XGA-0.08
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Ligue 1 · 2026-27
BRE v NIC
Brest›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 06:45 PM UTC
Nice›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Ligue 1.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Ligue 1 →
Model view
50%
25%
25%
BREDrawNIC
expected goals
1.69–1.13
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BRE ↓NIC →
012340
6
7
4
1
0
1
10
11
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BRE
ATT XG-0.24
DEF XGA+0.09
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
NIC
ATT XG-0.72
DEF XGA-0.08
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG