Ligue 1 · 2026-27
What happened
Le Havre AC 1–3 AJ Auxerre.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
LHADrawAA
expected goals
1.37–1.13
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 30% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LHA ↓AA →
012340
8
9
5
2
1
111
13
7
3
1
28
9
5
2
1
34
4
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LHA
ATT XG-1.02
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
AA
ATT XG-0.52
DEF XGA-0.22
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG