◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FU v RL
Recognise 1. FC Union Berlin’s players →Recognise RB Leipzig’s players →
1. FC Union Berlin›
vs
Sat, Nov 21 · 02:30 PM UTC
RB Leipzig›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
26%
24%
50%
1FUDrawRL
expected goals
1.31–1.87
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FU ↓RL →
012340
4
8
7
5
2
1
5
10
10
6
3
2
4
7
6
4
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FU v RL
Recognise 1. FC Union Berlin’s players →Recognise RB Leipzig’s players →
1. FC Union Berlin›
vs
Sat, Nov 21 · 02:30 PM UTC
RB Leipzig›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
26%
24%
50%
1FUDrawRL
expected goals
1.31–1.87
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FU ↓RL →
012340
4
8
7
5
2
1
5
10
10
6
3
2
4
7
6
4
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG