◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
SF v 1FU
Recognise SC Freiburg’s players →Recognise 1. FC Union Berlin’s players →
SC Freiburg›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 04:30 PM UTC
1. FC Union Berlin›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
62%
22%
16%
SFDraw1FU
expected goals
2.07–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SF ↓1FU →
012340
5
5
2
1
0
1
10
10
5
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
4
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SF
ATT XG-0.01
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
SF v 1FU
Recognise SC Freiburg’s players →Recognise 1. FC Union Berlin’s players →
SC Freiburg›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 04:30 PM UTC
1. FC Union Berlin›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
62%
22%
16%
SFDraw1FU
expected goals
2.07–0.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SF ↓1FU →
012340
5
5
2
1
0
1
10
10
5
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
7
7
3
1
0
4
4
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SF
ATT XG-0.01
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG