◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FM v FCB
Recognise 1. FSV Mainz 05’s players →Recognise Bayern Munich’s players →
1. FSV Mainz 05›
vs
Sat, Nov 7 · 02:30 PM UTC
Bayern Munich›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
21%
19%
60%
1FMDrawFCB
expected goals
1.58–2.66
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FM ↓FCB →
012340
1
4
5
5
3
1
2
6
8
7
5
2
2
5
6
6
4
3
1
3
3
3
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FM
ATT XG+0.21
DEF XGA-0.01
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
FCB
ATT XG+3.03
DEF XGA+1.13
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FM v FCB
Recognise 1. FSV Mainz 05’s players →Recognise Bayern Munich’s players →
1. FSV Mainz 05›
vs
Sat, Nov 7 · 02:30 PM UTC
Bayern Munich›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
21%
19%
60%
1FMDrawFCB
expected goals
1.58–2.66
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FM ↓FCB →
012340
1
4
5
5
3
1
2
6
8
7
5
2
2
5
6
6
4
3
1
3
3
3
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FM
ATT XG+0.21
DEF XGA-0.01
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
FCB
ATT XG+3.03
DEF XGA+1.13
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG