◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FU v FC
1. FC Union Berlin›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 02:30 PM UTC
FC Cologne›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
44%
25%
31%
1FUDrawFC
expected goals
1.67–1.35
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FU ↓FC →
012340
5
7
4
2
1
1
8
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
2
1
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
FC
ATT XG-0.46
DEF XGA-0.53
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FU v FC
1. FC Union Berlin›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 02:30 PM UTC
FC Cologne›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
44%
25%
31%
1FUDrawFC
expected goals
1.67–1.35
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FU ↓FC →
012340
5
7
4
2
1
1
8
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
2
1
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FU
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.39
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
FC
ATT XG-0.46
DEF XGA-0.53
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG