◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
S0 v RL
Schalke 04›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 02:30 PM UTC
RB Leipzig›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
26%
30%
44%
S0DrawRL
expected goals
0.94–1.28
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
S0 ↓RL →
012340
11
14
9
4
1
1
10
13
8
4
1
2
5
6
4
2
1
3
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
S0
ATT XG-1.57
DEF XGA+1.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
S0 v RL
Schalke 04›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 02:30 PM UTC
RB Leipzig›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
26%
30%
44%
S0DrawRL
expected goals
0.94–1.28
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
S0 ↓RL →
012340
11
14
9
4
1
1
10
13
8
4
1
2
5
6
4
2
1
3
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
S0
ATT XG-1.57
DEF XGA+1.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG