◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
FA v SF
FC Augsburg›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 02:30 PM UTC
SC Freiburg›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
FADrawSF
expected goals
1.76–1.58
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FA ↓SF →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
6
10
8
4
2
2
5
9
7
4
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FA
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA-0.49
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SF
ATT XG0.00
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
FA v SF
FC Augsburg›
vs
Sat, Oct 31 · 02:30 PM UTC
SC Freiburg›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
FADrawSF
expected goals
1.76–1.58
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FA ↓SF →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
6
10
8
4
2
2
5
9
7
4
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FA
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA-0.49
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SF
ATT XG0.00
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG