◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
BM v SP0
Recognise Borussia Mönchengladbach’s players →Recognise SC Paderborn 07’s players →
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
49%
28%
23%
BMDrawSP0
expected goals
1.48–0.94
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BM ↓SP0 →
012340
9
8
4
1
0
1
13
12
6
2
0
2
10
9
4
1
0
3
5
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BM
ATT XG-0.58
DEF XGA-0.64
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
SP0
ATT XG-1.51
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
BM v SP0
Recognise Borussia Mönchengladbach’s players →Recognise SC Paderborn 07’s players →
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
49%
28%
23%
BMDrawSP0
expected goals
1.48–0.94
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BM ↓SP0 →
012340
9
8
4
1
0
1
13
12
6
2
0
2
10
9
4
1
0
3
5
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BM
ATT XG-0.58
DEF XGA-0.64
FORM-1.67
AVAIL0.00
SP0
ATT XG-1.51
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG