◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
BD v EF
Borussia Dortmund›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 04:30 PM UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
67%
18%
15%
BDDrawEF
expected goals
2.51–1.12
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BD ↓EF →
012340
3
3
2
1
0
1
7
7
4
2
0
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
7
8
4
2
0
4
4
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BD
ATT XG+0.58
DEF XGA+0.95
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
EF
ATT XG-0.14
DEF XGA-0.62
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
BD v EF
Borussia Dortmund›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 04:30 PM UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
67%
18%
15%
BDDrawEF
expected goals
2.51–1.12
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BD ↓EF →
012340
3
3
2
1
0
1
7
7
4
2
0
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
7
8
4
2
0
4
4
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BD
ATT XG+0.58
DEF XGA+0.95
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
EF
ATT XG-0.14
DEF XGA-0.62
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG